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How a quarterly earnings shake-up could disrupt a sprawling white-collar ecosystem

A shake-up could finally be coming for quarterly earnings, and could rattle an ecosystem full of white-collar workers plying their trade as lawyers, communications pros, and data providers.

The push for fewer earnings reports ramped up last fall, after President Donald Trump asked the Securities and Exchange Commission to investigate whether fewer earnings reports might benefit companies. The regulator is now preparing a proposal to eliminate the requirement to report earnings every three months and instead give companies the option to share results twice a year, The Wall Street Journal reported Monday.

For decades, quarterly earnings have been a core Wall Street ritual, forcing companies to lift the hood and show investors what’s happening through hard numbers. Many CEOs have long argued that the process is costly and time-consuming and encourages short-term thinking.

There’s evidence that some companies agree. In 2019, after Trump first asked the SEC to explore the issue, the Nasdaq found that three-quarters of the 180 companies it surveyed favored a switch to semi-annual reporting, according to results posted on the SEC’s website. This initial effort ultimately stalled.

But the costs of these reporting efforts don’t just burden companies; they also support a sprawling ecosystem. Preparing a single release can take weeks and pull in dozens of people across legal, accounting, and communications teams. The money spent on earnings underwrites thousands of white-collar jobs, many already under pressure from artificial intelligence and a slowing economy.

Business Insider sought to understand what would happen to the professionals that prop up the earnings ecosystem, from investor relations professionals to finance data providers, last September, when this debate kicked off.

Here’s what people with knowledge of the process had to say, as well as what companies and professional associations said in response to the SEC’s 2019 request for comment on the pros and cons of fewer earnings reports.

Companies could field more investor questions

Investor relations and communications professionals play a key role in quarterly earnings by making sure a company’s story — financial results, growth prospects, risks, and strategy — is clearly conveyed to investors, analysts, regulators, and the media.

Reducing earnings, however, might not make their jobs easier, said Matthew Brusch, president and CEO of NIRI, an association for investor relations professionals.

“Investors won’t simply just stop asking for the information,” said Brusch, who previously worked in IR. “In my experience, investors never want less information,” he said, adding that he expects many companies would continue to report earnings quarterly even if given the opportunity to report just twice a year.

Indeed, a change might even add value to people whose job it is to break into companies, such as Wall Street equity research analysts, who make stock recommendations. A 2018 survey by the CFA Institute found that 82% of investor respondents strongly agreed that they would “struggle to locate information” if earnings reporting requirements were reduced.

Most investors surveyed also agreed that the benefits of quarterly earnings outweighed the costs.


A chart

A chart from the CFA Institute survey 

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The biggest winners

Theoretically, the biggest beneficiaries of fewer earnings reports would be C-Suite executives, like the CEO and CFO, who would have more time to focus on operations, capital raising, and other big-picture initiatives.

Nasdaq’s 2019 survey showed that the average company said it spent about 852.95 hours a quarter on earnings. That’s more than two weeks per person per quarter, assuming a 10-person team. Reducing corporate earnings to just twice a year would therefore give the average executive an entire month back, which could be spent on other things.

Experts who spoke to Business Insider said they don’t see it playing out this way, however. They pointed to the EU and other regions where many companies continue to report earnings quarterly despite twice-a-year reporting requirements.

“Do you really think management’s going to say, ‘Hey, just because we don’t have to report to the outside, I only want to look at my business every six months?'” Sandy Peters, senior head of global advocacy at the CFA Institute, said. “Probably not.”

The biggest losers

The biggest losers, people said, may be for-hire professionals called in on an ad-hoc basis to help pull quarterly earnings together, including corporate lawyers and auditors.

In response to the SEC’s 2019 request for comment on this issue, the Society for Corporate Governance filed a report showing that the costs associated with lawyers and accountants were among the most common concerns.

“Significant diversion of legal and finance/accounting team resources, plus expense of lawyers and accountants,” the organization’s SEC filing said, quoting a member.

“Audit firm fees” ranked as a top cost of preparing earnings reports among the 146 members who responded to the organization’s survey.

The Nasdaq survey said that companies reported paying an average of $334,697.63 a quarter on earnings, with at least one respondent citing quarterly costs as high as $7 million.

Ripple effects for data providers

Reducing earnings requirements could also impact professionals who make money off them, including financial services data providers.

On LinkedIn, Daniel Goldberg asked colleagues in the alternative data world if a potential change would be good or bad for their industry. A vast majority of the dozens of respondents thought the fewer corporate reports would mean more business for them.

“With semi-annual reporting, the unmatched transparency of real-time data could spark a surge in alternative data adoption,” said Goldberg, the former chief data strategy officer at Coresight Research who now works as an independent consultant.

But there is a downside for an industry that’s reliant on hedge funds for a sizable chunk of its revenues, he said

“Fewer earnings events would mean fewer trading catalysts — a potential challenge for hedge funds chasing alpha,” said Goldberg.

Rado Lipus, the founder of data consultancy Neudata, said “hedge funds are still very reliant on traditional products such as consensus estimates data,” and plenty of alternative datasets use “earnings calls as the input to create their product.” Ravenpack, an alternative data provider, has an earnings call analytics product that uses natural language processing tools to judge the sentiment of the executives speaking on a call, for example.

But the biggest immediate impact of changing quarterly earnings could be to hedge funds themselves, said Marc Greenberg, a former executive at Steve Cohen’s Point72 who now runs a training firm called Greener Pastures.

“It’s the best time of the year to make money as a hedge fund,” he said.




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Lloyd Lee

Microsoft AI CEO: ‘Most, if not all’ white-collar tasks can be replaced by AI within 12-18 months

Microsoft’s AI CEO is joining a chorus of executives who say they anticipate widespread job automation driven by artificial intelligence.

Mustafa Suleyman, the Microsoft AI chief, said in an interview with the Financial Times that he predicts most, if not every, task in white-collar fields will be automated by AI within the next year or year and a half.

“I think that we’re going to have a human-level performance on most, if not all, professional tasks,” Suleyman said in the interview that was published Wednesday. “So white-collar work, where you’re sitting down at a computer, either being a lawyer or an accountant or a project manager or a marketing person — most of those tasks will be fully automated by an AI within the next 12 to 18 months.”

The CEO said the trend is already observable in software engineering, in which employees are using “AI-assisted coding for the vast majority of their code production.”

“It’s a quite different relationship to the technology, and that’s happened in the last six months,” he said.

AI’s rapid advancement over the past half-decade has brought about real, documented shifts in how some white-collar work is performed.

Business Insider recently reported that “AI fatigue” has hit software engineering: the technology has unlocked productivity but also exhaustion, as workers are expected to take on more work at once.

Some leaders and pioneers in AI say that artificial intelligence will advance far enough to replace entire workforces.

Stuart Russell, a computer scientist who co-authored one of the world’s most authoritative books on AI, said in an interview last year that political leaders are looking at “80% unemployment” due to AI, as jobs ranging from surgeons to CEOs are at risk of being replaced.

Dario Amodei, CEO and cofounder of Anthropic, previously said AI could wipe out half of entry-level white-collar jobs.

“We, as the producers of this technology, have a duty and an obligation to be honest about what is coming,” Amodei told Axios in an interview. “I don’t think this is on people’s radar.”

A spokesperson for Microsoft did not respond to a request for comment.




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